Politics Odds: Will Donald Trump complete a full term as POTUS?

The heat is on. Recent revelations about shady dealings between Donald Trump’s people and Russian intelligence have people wondering whether the POTUS will even make it through his first term. “Yes” remains the –130 favorite at press time, but Trump’s position is getting weaker with each passing headline.


The resignation of Michael Flynn as Trump’s national security advisor on Monday may have opened up the floodgates. Flynn admitted to giving “incomplete information” about his contact with Russian ambassador Sergey Kislyak before Trump assumed the presidency, which could prove to be in violation of the Logan Act. Then, according to The New York Times, American law enforcement and intelligence agencies said they intercepted repeated communications between Trump associates and senior Russian intelligence officials during the presidential campaign.


Trump might end up resigning his post rather than face impeachment – or things may blow over and he’ll remain in power. But there’s also the question of longevity; at age 70, Trump is the oldest person ever to assume the presidency for his first term. Ronald Reagan was 69 years, 11 months and 14 days old when he took his first oath of office in 1981. He went on to serve two full terms.

Politics Odds: Will Donald Trump Stay in Power?

Things haven’t been going Donald Trump’s way lately. At press time, Trump is still a –130 favorite to complete a full term as President of the United States, but his odds have been getting longer as connections between his people and Russian intelligence are revealed in the press.


In Wednesday’s edition of The New York Times, American law enforcement and intelligence officials said they had intercepted multiple communications between Trump associates and the Russians during the 2016 presidential campaign. Pundits are comparing Trump’s situation to the Watergate scandal that led to Richard Nixon’s resignation as POTUS in 1973.