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The other major Oscar races are far less competitive. Guillermo Del Toro (The Shape of Water) is a heavy –1000 favorite to win Best Director; Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour) and Frances McDormand (Three Billboards) are even heavier at –2500 to win Best Actor and Best Actress. Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards) is –800 to win Best Supporting Actor, while Allison Janney (I, Tonya) is –600 in the Best Supporting Actress category.
While The Shape of Water leads the pack with 13 Oscar nominations, it appears Three Billboards has the inside track for Best Picture, after winning at the Golden Globes, the SAG Awards, and two weeks ago at the BAFTAs. The Shape of Water swept the guild awards for producers, directors and editors. Of the remaining seven nominees, Lady Bird is a compelling dark horse at +1400, taking down Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the Golden Globes.
Entertainment Odds: Will The Shape of Water Dominate the Oscars?
The Shape of Water leads Sunday’s 90th Academy Awards (8 PM ET, ABC) with 13 Oscar nominations, but when it comes to Best Picture, this highly-acclaimed film is a +140 second-favorite behind Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri at –115.
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If The Shape of Water falls short, Guillermo Del Toro is a near-lock at –1000 to win Best Director for his work. Three Billboards is also likely to scoop the Oscars for Best Actress (Frances McDormand, –2500) and Best Supporting Actor (Sam Rockwell, –800). Gary Oldman is –2500 to win Best Actor for his portrayal of Winston Churchill in Darkest Hour.
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