Jon Lester (3.89 ERA) will start the game for Chicago, and while Lester made the All-Star Game this year for the fifth time, his performance level is arguably the worst it’s been since he broke into the majors in 2007. Lester has given up a career-high 1.47 home runs per nine innings; the Cubs are still 17-7 this year in his 24 starts for 8.29 units in profit, but that’s after providing Lester 5.96 runs of support per game. That’s well above Chicago’s season average of 4.92 runs, driving the Over to a 14-9-2 record.
The Pirates have yet to officially pencil in a starter at press time, but Ivan Nova (4.42 ERA) is due up if their rotation holds. Nova has Pittsburgh up 4.69 units this year on a team record of 13-9 (Over 12-9-1).
MLB Odds: Cubs-Pirates at PNC Park
With four NL Central teams above the .500 mark, this week’s four-game series between the division-leading Chicago Cubs (68-49, minus-0.21 betting units) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (61-58, plus-2.29 units) could dramatically change the course of the playoff race. Thursday’s opener at PNC Park begins at 7:05 PM ET.
Jon Lester (3.89 ERA) will start Thursday’s game for the Cubs; Pittsburgh is expected to go with Ivan Nova (4.42 ERA). Both pitchers have received ample run support this year, driving the Over to a combined 26-18-3 mark. Third-baseman Kris Bryant (.854 OPS) remains out for Chicago with an inflamed left shoulder.
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